The Top Ten. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Barkley is a workhorse. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Edgerrin James 17. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Single Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. He was used more as a receiver than anything. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. 3) Micah Richards. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Jerome Bettis 16. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. . Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Jan 26 . Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. Marshall Faulk 7. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Eric Dickerson 8. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. His current draft price is almost his upside. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. But drafting him as a high-upside No. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB20 | Consensus Projections RB20. Single His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? Adrian Peterson 10. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. The Commanders drafted Brian Robinson Jr on Day 2 of the draft, a bigger back who excelled in pass protection. Adrian . Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Ricky Watters 20. 5 / 30. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Without the volume, he is hard to use. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. I am a heretic in that regard. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Preseason may help a little. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. J.D. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Never a good idea. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Overall: 98 and 96. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. only site on the planet. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. It's not entirely his fault. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Fred Taylor Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why.

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