Heres the top 10 in NFL and AFL history in receiving yardage through 85 games. Jackson and teammate Kyle Fuller both slipped last season, but each earned Pro Bowl nods, and that's going to matter more to voters 15 years from now than how either player actually performed in 2019. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. In part, that has been driven by health; the only other wideout ranking in the top 100 for receiving yards who has played all 80 games over the past five seasons is Larry Fitzgerald. He's an easy Hall of Famer. If Murray breaks out in Year 2, he'll be on the fast track. People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats. Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons. Scouting reports | More draft coverage. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. Kelce has been a first-team All-Pro three consecutive times, although he oddly didn't make the Pro Bowl in two of those campaigns. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Gurley was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and 2018, but he wasn't able to clinch a rushing title and didn't look like his old self last season. Watt, with his three Defensive Player of the Year awards with the Texans, will for sure give Houston another Hall of Famer. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. It hasn't been for lack of trying on his part, though. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . We present them here for purely educational purposes. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. Not knowing anything else about Burrow beyond where and when he was drafted, his Hall of Fame chances before starting his career come in by that small sample around 20%. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Andrew Thomas. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Syndication Packersnews With three rushing titles, a 2,000-yard season and an MVP award in his trophy room, Peterson will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. Lock (100%): QB Patrick Mahomes. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Quarterback Drew Brees and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald are the two prominent ballot newcomers. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Work to do (10% to 39%): LB Tremaine Edmunds. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Za'Darius Smith might have been the best pass-rusher in the league last season and has been great over the past two years on a snap-by-snap basis, but he turns 28 in September. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. I worry a little about Atkins because he plays in a small market and in an era in which he's second fiddle to a better version of the same player (Aaron Donald), but history suggests Atkins is in. Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. Rent the Hall. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. Marriott has since been ordered by a judge to release footage of Irvin and the woman's altercation and the name of the . What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. The Saints have the best tackle combination in football, but Armstead went underappreciated before picking up steam over the past couple of years and Ramczyk raised his game in 2019. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. Just play along. Graham has five Pro Bowls to his name, but I don't think he has done enough to earn a gold jacket. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Or write about sports? Byard was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 when he led the league with eight picks, but despite playing at an upper-echelon level over the ensuing two seasons, he hasn't received the same consideration. Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . Only two full-time kickers Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen are in the Hall of Fame, but it would be hard to see Vinatieri shut out given his accomplishments. He needs to have a second act and have another selling point -- either winning a Super Bowl, competing for another MVP award or making it to a handful of Pro Bowls -- to have a viable path to a gold jacket. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. All rights reserved. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. Lock (100%): QB Drew Brees. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Do you have a sports website? Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Chase Young, S Landon Collins. Meanwhile, Johnson spent the first 12 years of his career with the expansion Texans, who didnt make the playoffs until his ninth season with quarterback play that ran the gamut from dreadful to above average. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. Even so, I think hell eventually get there. Campbell, who turns 34 next month, is probably going to miss out, which is a shame given how good he has been. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. One more Pro Bowl would probably do the trick. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. Membership Foundation Corporate Partners Artifact Donations Commemorative Brick . Marcedes Lewis has been in the NFL for a long time. He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. The 2020 No. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. At the same time, no tight end in history has more than four 1,000-yard seasons over their respective careers, and Kelce has just run off four consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. But lack of team success isnt a disqualifier. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. Roy Williams is the lone Hall-eligible safety who didn't follow his early success to Canton. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. Kamara was also Offensive Rookie of the Year, which helps his chances further. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. (1:43). I've split players into four groups. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. The shrine in Canton, Ohio, is one that hasnt been easy to gain membership in through the years. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. That might bode well for Suggs case, especially with the premium placed on pass rushers in the modern NFL. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Jones now has five consecutive seasons with at least 10 sacks. Judging safeties on interceptions is stupid, but we haven't evolved beyond that point. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. A portion of ticket purchases is a tax-deductible charitable donation to the Museum . Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Inside linebackers generally need to become Defensive Player of the Year candidates and earn multiple first-team All-Pro appearances to get serious consideration for Canton, but Edmunds is off to a great start. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. He has two first-team All-Pro appearances over the past five years, but it's likely too little, too late. His PFR Hall of Fame score of 94.2 ranks ahead of several wide receivers already in the Hall of Fame, including Michael Irvin, Art Monk, Andre Reed and Lynn Swann. The only thing Pouncey is missing is a Super Bowl appearance. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. More on the Ring of Honor found on the team website.

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